2024 Election Why 'Bidenomics' Isn't Working For Biden The economy is improving, but Americans aren't giving Biden credit for it.

Voting Rights How Majority-Minority Districts Fueled Diversity In Congress And why people of color are winning more seats outside of those districts too.

Let’s give a big round of applause to the pollsters. Measuring public opinion is, in many ways, harder than ever — and yet, the polling industry just had one of… ...

Longtime readers of FiveThirtyEight are probably familiar with our pollster ratings: letter grades that we assign to pollsters based on their historical accuracy and transparency. Since 2008, we ...

Economy Are We Headed For A Recession Or Not? Why our usual economic indicators aren't pointing in a clear direction.

The NFL has had quite an eventful year. In fact, the 2022 season has been characterized by a series of controversies that, when taken together, seem like a micr… ...

2024 Republican Primary How Donald Trump’s Unusual Presidential Comeback Could Go History presents three possible paths.

Twitter How Americans Really Feel About Elon Musk Hint: His unscientific polls don’t tell us much.

Even with an additional senator going into 2023, the 2024 map is still so bad for Democrats that keeping the Senate for years to come will be a fairly tough order. The party’s prospects might ...

2022 Election Who Are The People Who Don't Respond To Polls? Our ongoing poll with Ipsos offers some clues.

If it were up to me — and I grew up in East Lansing, Michigan, where you could literally hear the roar of the crowd from Spartan Stadium in my backyard on game days — the Big Ten would have ...

Redistricting The New National Congressional Map Is Biased Toward Republicans Neither party was a clear winner in redistricting, but competition and people of color definitely lost.